What happens after a pump.fun coin graduates?
87%
For most of them, a long way down. Of the 12,074 coins that graduated through trading from 2026-10-01 to 2026-10-21, 87% were below half their graduation price an hour later, and 96% a day later. The median market cap went from 407 SOL at graduation to 19 SOL in that hour. Only 3% were at their graduation price or above a day on.
87%
are below half their graduation price after an hour
96%
after a day
98%
after 7 days
3%
are at their graduation price or above after a day
How far graduates fall
The numbers
12,074 coins, each against its own graduation price.
| After | Below graduation price | Below half of it | Below a tenth of it | Median market cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hour | 92% | 87% | 70% | 19 SOL |
| 1 day | 97% | 96% | 86% | 19 SOL |
| 7 days | 99% | 98% | 93% | 19 SOL |
What it means for you
- Graduating is a milestone, not a verdict. It tells you the curve filled, not that anyone is staying.
- The median coin ends that first hour near the floor. With every token sold back into the new pool its market cap would be about 18 SOL, and the median sits at 19 SOL.
- The ride can be wild on the way: 25% closed a minute at double their graduation price or more within the day, and most of those gave it back.
How we measured it
- Coins launched on pump.fun from 2026-10-01 to 2026-10-21 that reached PumpSwap through trading within a day, priced in SOL. Instant migrations are left out.
- A coin's graduation price is its last price on the bonding curve. Its price at a mark is its last trade on PumpSwap before that mark.
- Each coin followed through 2026-10-29. Median market caps read the price against a supply of one billion tokens.
What it doesn't tell you
- These are prices, not profits. Someone who bought well below graduation can be up at a price far under it.
- It's a share, not a rule for any one coin. A few graduates do hold and run: 1% were at their graduation price or above after 7 days.
- Prices are in SOL, so a move in SOL itself isn't taken out.
The data
pump.fun graduates after graduation, launches from 2026-10-01 to 2026-10-21. Free to use and share under CC BY 4.0: just say it came from Hidden Hand.
Cite this
Hidden Hand Research. "What happens after a pump.fun coin graduates?" Measured 2026-10-30. https://hiddenhand.trade/research/pump-fun-after-graduation
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